Epigenetic clock

From Longevity Wiki

Epigenetic clocks are based on an individuals's DNA methylation (DNAm) status, referred to as DNAm age or epigenetic age. They can be used to estimate chronological age and might potentially measure some aspects of biological age. Some studies argue that epigenetic clocks can predict all-cause mortality better than chronological age and other traditional risk factors.[1] However, there is currently no definitive evidence that epigenetic clocks can predict remaining lifespan and future health status at the individual level (but can be useful at the population level).

It is worth noting that epigenetic clocks have not offered a causal explanation of aging. They represent a tool to measure biological age status and, in a way, they show us what we already knew: there is a change in tissue composition over time across different cell types, with cells accumulating a number of hallmarks of aging, specially “inflammaging”.[2][3] Nonetheless, epigenetic clocks might be useful in providing a solid framework to test rejuvenating interventions, such as epigenetic reprogramming.[4]

A variety of other aging clocks exist based on parameters other than the methylation status. These include transcriptomics clocks,[5][6] glycation clocks,[7] telomere clocks,[8] microbiome clocks,[9][10] or more recently the DNAm PhenoAge,[11] which combines epigenetic clocks with several measurements of functional performance.

General purpose of epigenetic clocks

People vary significantly in how they age, with various factors leading to accelerated aging. Some examples include depression, stress, poverty, HIV/AIDs, diabetes, smoking, Down Syndrome, accelerated aging syndromes (e.g. progerias) and in childhood cancer survivors.[12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22] By measuring biological age, researchers could identify people who exhibit accelerated aging or vice versa slow aging.[23][24] This would determine who might benefit the most from an anti-aging drug, and perhaps be used as a surrogate marker for more quickly identifying if an aging intervention slows or even reverses aging.[25]

Quantifying biological age is considered important for longevity research, as running clinical trials over several decades to show whether human life has been extended is unrealistic. Instead, it might be more practical to use biological aging clocks to predict if a therapy is likely to extend healthspan and lifespan within a shorter timeframe.


The epigenetic clock works by measuring DNA methylation levels, i.e., the number and distribution of methyl groups attached to the DNA molecule. These ‘tags’ signal genes to be turned on or off.

Epigenetic clocks appear to measure a universal feature of aging across species. The same algorithm, based on the same set of biomarkers (DNAm) has been shown to strongly predict chronological age in hundreds of animals, including mice, bats, and humans. Notably, the residual or unexplained variance of epigenetic clocks (such as GrimAge) for prediction of chronological age appears to further capture biological age.[26] For GrimAge, this aspect is referred to as AgeAccelGrim, where the regression of DNA GrimAge on chronological age predicts whether biological age is greater or lesser than chronological age.[26] In other words, epigenetic clocks accurately predict one's age based on various DNAm biomarkers, but the error in prediction reflects the differences in rates of biological aging between individuals.

DNA methylation is the attachment of a methyl group to one of the “links” in the DNA strain (specifically, cytosine nucleotide). This does not affect the content of the DNA itself, but it does affect how it is read and used by the cell. This is one of the group of changes called epigenetics – changes in the organism's physical function which do not alter the DNA sequence itself, but can be inherited under certain conditions.

There have been a number of studies showing that as humans (and other mammals) age, patterns of methylation in their DNA change in certain ways.[27] The exact patterns of change are quite complex and not yet fully described, but broadly, two tendencies have been detected. First, the global level of methylation decreases, unequally in different tissues (for example, in mice, methylation levels decreased in the brain, heart, and spleen, but not in the lungs or liver). Secondly, the local methylation levels increase in certain locations: CpG islands (regions on a DNA strain where the sequence cytosine-guanine occurs with high frequency) and bivalent chromatin domain promoters (a promoter is a DNA sequence which initiates the transcription of the gene following it).

These changes can be used to estimate the biological age of the organism, and there are a number of approaches to achieving this measurement, the most common being the Horvath’s clock, developed by Horvath et al. in 2013.[28] They used publicly available datasets of methylation data collected on Illumina chips, and analyzed 21,369 CpG sites available on both 27k and 450k chips (the number referring to the total number of sites that the chip analyzes). The team then used a penalized regression model (elastic net regularization, which is essentially a linear combination of lasso and ridge regularization penalties, which thus drives the model to have both smaller coefficients and fewer of them) to identify 353 sites providing the most signals, of which 193 correlated with age positively, and the remaining 160 negatively. The clock then applies a calibration function to the weighted average of these 353 sites methylation levels to determine the biological age.

Methylation marker genes associated with aging

Regarding the definition of the markers, many candidate loci have been proposed, such as ELOVL2 (cg16867657),[29] EDARADD,[30][31] C1orf132 (cg10501210),[32] TRIM59, FHL2, KLF14, PDE4C, FHL2 (cg22454769), OTUD7A (cg04875128), CCDC102B (cg19283806),[33] ASPA, and PENK.[34][35][36]


Elongase of very long chain fatty acids 2 (ELOVL2) represents a robust candidate gene as (i) its epigenetic variability is highly correlated with age predictions, (ii) it is included in most current age prediction models, and (iii) it does not show tissue-specificity, as observed for most of the epigenetic markers identified so far.[37][38][39] Functionally, Elovl2 plays an irreplaceable role in the synthesis of poly unsaturated fatty acids (PUFA)s, which are critical for a range of biological processes. Impaired Elovl2 function disturbs lipid synthesis with increased endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress and mitochondrial dysfunction, leading to key aging phenotypes at both cellular and physiological level. Elovl2 deficiency induced a switch in metabolism from the tri-carboxylic acid cycle to glycolysis, an effect which produces more reactive oxidative species (ROS), causes oxidative stress in cells, tissues, and organs, and also act as a messenger for inflammatory responses. In addition, PUFAs are essential in the resolution of inflammation. In addition to that, there was a dramatic accumulation of fatty acids upon Elovl2 knockout, including arachidonic acid. As accumulation of arachidonic acid might also contribute to inflammation for its being used for Prostaglandin E2 (PGE2) generation, PGE2 may be involved in inflammation upon Elovl2 knockout.[40] The accumulation of free fatty acids in the ER would damage ER function, resulting in an increased incidence of unfolded or misfolded protein load and chronic ER stress.[41]


Changes in methylation levels with aging have been observed for some time.[42] The first work using epigenetic changes as a basis for biological clocks was published in 2009 by Schumacher.[43] In 2013, the labs of Trey Ideker and Kang Zhang at the University of California, San Diego published the Hannum epigenetic clock, which consisted of 71 markers which accurately estimate age based on blood methylation levels.[44] In the same year, the first multi-tissue epigenetic clock was developed by Steve Horvath, a professor of human genetics and of biostatistics at UCLA.[45] Horvath’s clock allows the measurement of the age of different tissues of the same organism with the same clock, so it is the most widely used in aging research today.

Epigenetic clocks and aging

It is not yet known whether epigenetic changes are a cause or consequence of other biological aging mechanisms. Epigenetic clocks have been used in some clinical trials of longevity drugs in an attempt to measure biological age. However, to enable its use as a surrogate marker, validation of various epigenetic clocks will require large-scale randomized clinical trials.

Several theories have been proposed, and are discussed below:

Link with Hallmarks of Aging

There is evidence that changed methylation patterns can be linked to some of the hallmarks of aging: loss of proteostasis, mitochondrial dysfunction, stem cell exhaustion, and immunosenescence.[46] Lu, Yuancheng, et al. were able to reverse age-induced loss of sight from glaucoma, and even regenerate a mechanically damaged eye nerve, by manipulating methylation patterns in mice.[47] They used three out of the four so-called 'Yamanaka factors', which are proteins necessary for reprogramming adult somatic cells back to pluripotent stem cells. Using the factors in live organisms for prolonged periods of time is known to cause cancer by boosting up cell division. But, with the exclusion of one of these factors (c-Myc), that is known to be oncogenic. The other three factors were kept active in mice for over a year without inducing any tumors.

The induction of these factors allowed the mice to regrow a mechanically damaged optic nerve. Normally, a mouse's optic nerve can regrow during early development, but then loses this ability a few days after birth. In this experiment, adult mice were able to re-obtain a similar regenerative ability and regained around half of their lost visual acuity.

Another result achieved using the Yamanaka factors was the restoration of the vision of healthy, middle-aged (one-year-old) mice. Before treatment, these mice scored worse than the younger mice on tests of visual acuity, but one month after treatment, they had similar results

Information Theory of Aging

Another theory, popularised by Professor David Sinclair, is that epigenetic changes might be the master regulator of aging - known as the information theory of aging.

Since DNA is identical in every somatic cell, each cell needs to “know” which genes to read in order to differentiate itself from a stem cell and perform its function. For example, a neuron cell only expresses (i.e. uses) genes relevant for being a neuron, and not a muscle cell or a skin cell. This is achieved through methylation and other epigenetic mechanisms.

The theory goes that aging is fundamentally caused by the accumulation of the effects of errors in this process, eventually causing a cell to stop functioning normally and either become cancerous or die.

Relevance for longevity research

For discussion see Fig. 2 from.[48]


Research shows that smoking increases epigenetic age of buccal cells, airway cells, esophagus tissue, and lung tissue. Quitting smoking causes the epigenetic age acceleration in airway cells (but not in lung tissue) to revert to the level of non-smokers.[49]


Obesity (defined as increased BMI) has been shown to correlate with increased epigenetic age in a number of tissues. For liver tissue, one study found an average increase of approximately 2.2 years of epigenetic age for each 10 BMI units.[50] There was no correlation for blood cells, however. Another study found an increase of approximately 2.3 years per 10 BMI points for visceral adipose tissue (visceral fat).[51]


Major depressive disorder (MDD) was also found to be associated with increased epigenetic age. One study found increased epigenetic age in blood cells associated with symptoms of MDD and childhood trauma scores.[52] They also analyzed brain cells (collected post mortem) and found that increased epigenetic age correlated with MDD symptoms.


Those who live past the age of 100 have reduced DNAm levels, with a pattern of methylation that appears to correlate less in neighboring cytosine-phosphate-guanine (CpG) sites of the DNA of newborns, which were more homogenous.[53]

Partial epigenetic reprogramming

YuanCheng Lu and colleagues were able to reverse loss of sight in age-related and glaucoma induced retinal ganglion cell loss, and even regenerate a mechanically damaged eye nerve. This was achieved by manipulating methylation patterns in mice, using partial epigenetic reprogramming delivered via viral gene therapy.[47] Epigenetic clocks in this study demonstrated an apparent reversal of epigenetic age in mice treated with epigenetic reprogramming.[47]

Other uses

Predictors (cAge, ZhangAge, HannumAge, and HorvathAge) performance in the GSE55763 dataset in accordance with Bernabeu et al. 2022.[54] Pearson correlation (r), root mean squared error (RMSE), and median absolute error (MAE)

Epigenetic clock also has many other applications:

  • Testing the validity of various theories of biological aging
  • Diagnosing various age related diseases and for defining cancer subtypes
  • Predicting/prognosticating the onset of various diseases
  • Serving as surrogate markers for evaluating therapeutic interventions including rejuvenation approaches,
  • Studying developmental biology and cell differentiation
  • Forensic applications, e.g. to estimate the age of a suspect based on blood left at a crime scene


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